Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.025020 0.027517 0.029996 0.032638 0.035367 0.038100 0.041037
2025-01-26 0.020758 0.024797 0.028929 0.033444 0.038215 0.043086 0.048414
2025-02-02 0.017356 0.022366 0.027627 0.033496 0.039805 0.046336 0.053565
2025-02-09 0.014147 0.019755 0.025800 0.032678 0.040184 0.048048 0.056841
2025-02-16 0.012226 0.018351 0.025107 0.032915 0.041539 0.050655 0.060919
2025-02-23 0.010417 0.016903 0.024227 0.032825 0.042425 0.052657 0.064250
2025-03-02 0.008745 0.015466 0.023250 0.032528 0.042999 0.054243 0.067058
2025-03-09 0.007379 0.014281 0.022477 0.032389 0.043683 0.055892 0.069876
2025-03-16 0.005878 0.012788 0.021253 0.031660 0.043646 0.056696 0.071722
2025-03-23 0.004959 0.011967 0.020777 0.031753 0.044496 0.058444 0.074566
2025-03-30 0.003918 0.010869 0.019901 0.031328 0.044716 0.059458 0.076569
2025-04-06 0.002936 0.009730 0.018907 0.030714 0.044683 0.060157 0.078194
2025-04-13 0.001700 0.008054 0.017248 0.029394 0.043969 0.060257 0.079359
2025-04-20 0.001275 0.007669 0.017296 0.030188 0.045766 0.063249 0.083808
2025-04-27 0.000741 0.006902 0.016772 0.030241 0.046671 0.065211 0.087095
2025-05-04 0.000214 0.005757 0.015624 0.029456 0.046542 0.065962 0.088992
2025-05-11 0.000032 0.005220 0.015300 0.029684 0.047594 0.068041 0.092358
2025-05-18 NaN 0.004577 0.014758 0.029597 0.048242 0.069633 0.095155
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003898 0.014093 0.029312 0.048625 0.070898 0.097559
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003343 0.013564 0.029179 0.049169 0.072330 0.100135
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002614 0.012646 0.028479 0.048993 0.072903 0.101713
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002249 0.012324 0.028569 0.049772 0.074577 0.104533
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001749 0.011663 0.028161 0.049914 0.075489 0.106465